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Betting Odds 2015

  1. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    It's early in the season, but I'll be updating this thread a few times a week until May. When rehearsals start, I'll update more often. I'll use Oddschecker for this, since they collect multiple bookies.

    Betting Odds: 11th February
    1. :ee: Estonia
    2. :fi: Finland
    3. :au: Australia
    4. :se: Sweden
    5. :gr: Greece
    6. :az: Azerbaijan
    7. :am: Armenia
    8. :no: Norway
    9. :rs: Serbia
    10. :dk: Denmark
    11. :es: Spain
    12. :ch: Switzerland
    13. :de: Germany
    14. :is: Iceland
    15. :cy: Cyprus
    16. :ru: Russia
    17. :cz: Czech Republic
    18. :ro: Romania
    19. :it: Italy
    20. :lt: Lithuania
    21. :lv: Latvia
    22. :mt: Malta
    23. :il: Israel
    24. :pl: Poland
    25. :ge: Georgia
    26. :nl: Holland
    27. :hu: Hungary
    28. :md: Moldova
    29. :me: Montenegro
    30. :at: Austria
    31. :uk: United Kingdom
    32. :be: Belgium
    33. :ie: Ireland
    34. :fr: France
    35. :si: Slovenia
    36. :by: Belarus
    37. :sm: San Marino
    38. :mk: Macedonia
    39. :pt: Portugal
    40. :al: Albania
  2. Jonny Ginger Tory Witch

    Poor :fr:. They've already chosen their entry yet they're still below :cz:. :nope:
    Genesis2703 and ThatWelshOne like this.
  3. DenDutch Well-Known Member

    But the current top 10 (as of 11th February) consists of:
    1. Countries that usually do well (Sweden, Greece, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Norway, Serbia, Denmark)
    2. Countries with a song that can do well at esc in their nf (Estonia, Finland)
    3. Australia
    I expect rather big changes when more songs are chosen.
    And as you know more when the song is published, the value of the odd can go down.
  4. Rua Haldor Lægreid Impersonator

    #lol @ :al: being so low - although, they still have a chance with their rework.
    Jonny and ThatWelshOne like this.
  5. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    Just before the NF weekend, let's see what's been happening with bookmakers...

    13th February:

    1. :ee: Estonia (=)
    2. :fi: Finland (=)
    3. :it: Italy (+16)
    4. :se: Sweden (=)
    5. :au: Australia (-2)
    6. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    7. :gr: Greece (-2)
    8. :am: Armenia (-1)
    9. :no: Norway (-1)
    10. :rs: Serbia (-1)
    11. :es: Spain (=)
    12. :nl: Holland (+14)
    13. :dk: Denmark (-3)
    14. :ch: Switzerland (-2)
    15. :de: Germany (-2)
    16. :ru: Russia (=)
    17. :is: Iceland (-3)
    18. :cy: Cyprus (-3)
    19. :ro: Romania (-1)
    20. :cz: Czech Republic (-3)
    21. :lv: Latvia (=)
    22. :lt: Lithuania (-2)
    23. :pl: Poland (+1)
    24. :mt: Malta (-2)
    25. :ge: Georgia (=)
    26. :il: Israel (-3)
    27. :md: Moldova (+1)
    28. :hu: Hungary (-1)
    29. :me: Montenegro (=)
    30. :at: Austria (=)
    31. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    32. :be: Belgium (=)
    33. :ie: Ireland (=)
    34. :fr: France (=)
    35. :si: Slovenia (=)
    36. :by: Belarus (=)
    37. :sm: San Marino (=)
    38. :mk: Macedonia (=)
    39. :pt: Portugal (=)
    40. :al: Albania (=)
    So, interesting is Italy, who move up 16 places, into the top three during Sanremo week. I assume that's because of Il Volo, who are the favourites to do the trick in Italy. Also interesting and something I don't understand is Holland moving up fourteen places. The song has been out for two months now, where does this sudden shift come from? Anyway, from the countries with a song chosen (the massive 10 we have), Walk Along now overtakes The Way You Are.
    Things that I found remarkable: Hungary having odds of 132/1 with one bookmaker... Worse odds than Lithuania, Macedonia and Moldova...
  6. Merjan MICHAEL GOVE FOR PM

    Don't you mean Otting Beds? :P
    adamacs likes this.
  7. sokrates1988 I HATE EUROVISION

    Estonia lol and australia 3rd please no and what a shock sweden so high, are ogae doing this betting list :D
  8. adamacs RUTH DAVIDSON FOR PM.


    I concur DEAREST Y - The title of the thread should be "Otting Beds 2015"
    Genesis2703, Merjan and NickEmpel like this.
  9. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    19th February:

    1. :it: Italy (+2)
    2. :ee: Estonia (-1)
    3. :no: Norway (+6)
    4. :au: Australia (+1)
    5. :se: Sweden (-1)
    6. :fi: Finland (-4)
    7. :az: Azerbaijan (-1)
    8. :gr: Greece (-1)
    9. :am: Armenia (-1)
    10. :rs: Serbia (=)
    11. :dk: Denmark (+2)
    12. :nl: Holland (=)
    13. :ch: Switzerland (+1)
    14. :de: Germany (+1)
    15. :es: Spain (-4)
    16. :ru: Russia (=)
    17. :cy: Cyprus (+1)
    18. :ro: Romania (+1)
    19. :cz: Czech Republic (+1)
    20. :is: Iceland (-3)
    21. :lt: Lithuania (+1)
    22. :lv: Latvia (-1)
    23. :me: Montenegro (+6)
    24. :pl: Poland (-1)
    25. :il: Israel (+1)
    26. :ge: Georgia (-1)
    27. :hu: Hungary (+1)
    28. :mt: Malta (-4)
    29. :at: Austria (+1)
    30. :md: Moldova (-3)
    31. :be: Belgium (+1)
    32. :uk: United Kingdom (-1)
    33. :ie: Ireland (=)
    34. :fr: France (=)
    35. :si: Slovenia (=)
    36. :by: Belarus (=)
    37. :sm: San Marino (=)
    38. :pt: Portugal (+1)
    39. :mk: Macedonia (=)
    40. :al: Albania (=)
    Interesting is of course Italy's rise to the top, also of course thanks to Il Volo. Finland falling behind is because so much crap has qualified there, it's easier to pick shit for them now. Montenegro climbing a good few places must be because of Zeljko being announced as their composer. Nothing changes in the bottom, but that may change soon when we hear the Portuguese and Slovenian finalists.
  10. Mina Member with a "past"

  11. Jonny Ginger Tory Witch

    WHO is betting on the Czech Republic.
  12. sokrates1988 I HATE EUROVISION

    Czechs
    Jonny and Rua like this.
  13. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    2nd March
    1. :it: Italy (=)
    2. :fi: Finland (+4)
    3. :ee: Estonia (-1)
    4. :no: Norway (-1)
    5. :au: Australia (-1)
    6. :se: Sweden (-1)
    7. :es: Spain (+8)
    8. :gr: Greece (-1)
    9. :az: Azerbaijan (-2)
    10. :am: Armenia (-1)
    11. :si: Slovenia (+24)
    12. :rs: Serbia (-2)
    13. :nl: Holland (-1)
    14. :dk: Denmark (-3)
    15. :ch: Switzerland (-2)
    16. :de: Germany (-2)
    17. :ru: Russia (-1)
    18. :is: Iceland (+2)
    19. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    20. :ro: Romania (-2)
    21. :cy: Cyprus (-4)
    22. :uk: United Kingdom (+10)
    23. :lv: Latvia (-1)
    24. :lt: Lithuania (-3)
    25. :pl: Poland (-1)
    26. :hu: Hungary (+1)
    27. :me: Montenegro (-4)
    28. :ge: Georgia (-2)
    29. :mt: Malta (-1)
    30. :md: Moldova (=)
    31. :il: Israel (-6)
    32. :at: Austria (-3)
    33. :be: Belgium (-2)
    34. :ie: Ireland (-1)
    35. :fr: France (-1)
    36. :by: Belarus (=)
    37. :sm: San Marino (=)
    38. :pt: Portugal (=)
    39. :mk: Macedonia (=)
    40. :al: Albania (=)
    Interesting stuff there. Finland has shot up again after PKN was selected. I can't see them qualifying, let alone winning. The change we're seeing with Slovenia will be interesting, can that song crack the top 10 with bookmakers? Also, bookmakers are based in the UK mostly, so after any announcement, some people gain faith as to a UK victory - that's why they rocket up 10 places.
  14. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    6th March

    1. :it: Italy (=)
    2. :ee: Estonia (+1)
    3. :fi: Finland (-1)
    4. :se: Sweden (+2)
    5. :no: Norway (-1)
    6. :au: Australia (-1)
    7. :si: Slovenia (+4)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (+1)
    9. :am: Armenia (+1)
    10. :gr: Greece (-2)
    11. :es: Spain (-4)
    12. :uk: United Kingdom (+10)
    13. :ru: Russia (+4)
    14. :ro: Romania (+6)
    15. :cy: Cyprus (+6)
    16. :dk: Denmark (-2)
    17. :ch: Switzerland (-2)
    18. :at: Austria (+14)
    19. :be: Belgium (+14)
    20. :mt: Malta (+9)
    21. :rs: Serbia (-9)
    22. :hu: Hungary (+4)
    23. :cz: Czech Republic (-4)
    24. :de: Germany (-8)
    25. :is: Iceland (-7)
    26. :nl: Holland (-13)
    27. :fr: France (+8)
    28. :me: Montenegro (-1)
    29. :lt: Lithuania (-5)
    30. :md: Moldova (=)
    31. :pl: Poland (-6)
    32. :pt: Portugal (+6)
    33. :al: Albania (+7)
    34. :sm: San Marino (+3)
    35. :il: Israel (-4)
    36. :mk: Macedonia (+3)
    37. :by: Belarus (-1)
    38. :lv: Latvia (-15)
    39. :ge: Georgia (-11)
    40. :ie: Ireland (-6)
    It's not like there's been a massive shake-up actually. Yes, basically everyone had a good climb or a good drop, but that's really due to more bookies opening their bets now. We used to have 2 only, now it's about 10. That's why e.g. Latvia, Holland and Georgia fell down so much and Austria and Belgium climbed.
    Also, these bookies are all based in the UK, so as always, the UK starts climbing again...
  15. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    10th March:

    1. :it: Italy (=)
    2. :ee: Estonia (=)
    3. :fi: Finland (=)
    4. :se: Sweden (=)
    5. :no: Norway (=)
    6. :si: Slovenia (+1)
    7. :au: Australia (-1)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    9. :am: Armenia (=)
    10. :uk: United Kingdom (+2)
    11. :es: Spain (=)
    12. :gr: Greece (-2)
    13. :ru: Russia (=)
    14. :be: Belgium (+5)
    15. :lv: Latvia (+23)
    16. :mt: Malta (+4)
    17. :fr: France (+10)
    18. :ro: Romania (-4)
    19. :ch: Switzerland (-2)
    20. :cy: Cyprus (-5)
    21. :at: Austria (-3)
    22. :rs: Serbia (-1)
    23. :is: Iceland (+2)
    24. :hu: Hungary (-2)
    25. :de: Germany (-1)
    26. :nl: Holland (=)
    27. :lt: Lithuania (+2)
    28. :pl: Poland (+3)
    29. :al: Albania (+4)
    30. :il: Israel (+5)
    31. :me: Montenegro (-3)
    32. :cz: Czech Republic (-9)
    33. :dk: Denmark (-17)
    34. :md: Moldova (-4)
    35. :by: Belarus (+2)
    36. :sm: San Marino (-2)
    37. :pt: Portugal (-5)
    38. :mk: Macedonia (-2)
    39. :ge: Georgia (=)
    40. :ie: Ireland (=)
    Interesting is Latvia, who have shot up massively. Can't see them doing well at all...
    The Danes have literally collapsed... A good move there.
    Interesting ones to keep an eye on are Belgium, Slovenia and France...
  16. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    12th March:

    1. :it: Italy (=)
    2. :ee: Estonia (=)
    3. :se: Sweden (+1)
    4. :fi: Finland (-1)
    5. :si: Slovenia (+1)
    6. :no: Norway (-1)
    7. :au: Australia (=)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    9. :am: Armenia (=)
    10. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    11. :es: Spain (=)
    12. :gr: Greece (=)
    13. :be: Belgium (+1)
    14. :ru: Russia (-1)
    15. :lv: Latvia (=)
    16. :mt: Malta (=)
    17. :ro: Romania (+1)
    18. :cy: Cyprus (+2)
    19. :ch: Switzerland (=)
    20. :at: Austria (+1)
    21. :is: Iceland (+2)
    22. :rs: Serbia (=)
    23. :de: Germany (+2)
    24. :fr: France (-7)
    25. :hu: Hungary (-1)
    26. :nl: Holland (=)
    27. :lt: Lithuania (=)
    28. :pl: Poland (=)
    29. :al: Albania (=)
    30. :me: Montenegro (=)
    31. :dk: Denmark (+2)
    32. :il: Israel (-2)
    33. :cz: Czech Republic (-1)
    34. :sm: San Marino (+2)
    35. :by: Belarus (=)
    36. :md: Moldova (-2)
    37. :mk: Macedonia (+1)
    38. :pt: Portugal (-1)
    39. :ge: Georgia (=)
    40. :ie: Ireland (=)
  17. Malta The Best Andre Attard the Retard

    How is the UK in 10th place. They released a hyped and frankly good song yet they only got 18th place, I'm sure the song they released this year won't even come close to that.
  18. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    15th March:
    1. :se: Sweden (+2)
    2. :it: Italy (-1)
    3. :ee: Estonia (-1)
    4. :si: Slovenia (+1)
    5. :fi: Finland (-1)
    6. :no: Norway (=)
    7. :au: Australia (=)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    9. :uk: United Kingdom (+1)
    10. :am: Armenia (-1)
    11. :be: Belgium (+2)
    12. :es: Spain (-1)
    13. :gr: Greece (-1)
    14. :ru: Russia (=)
    15. :lv: Latvia (=)
    16. :at: Austria (+4)
    17. :ch: Switzerland (+2)
    18. :mt: Malta (-2)
    19. :cy: Cyprus (-1)
    20. :ro: Romania (-3)
    21. :fr: France (+3)
    22. :is: Iceland (-1)
    23. :hu: Hungary (+2)
    24. :de: Germany (-1)
    25. :nl: Holland (+1)
    26. :rs: Serbia (-4)
    27. :lt: Lithuania (=)
    28. :al: Albania (+1)
    29. :pl: Poland (-1)
    30. :me: Montenegro (=)
    31. :il: Israel (+1)
    32. :dk: Denmark (-1)
    33. :by: Belarus (+2)
    34. :sm: San Marino (=)
    35. :cz: Czech Republic (-2)
    36. :mk: Macedonia (+1)
    37. :md: Moldova (-1)
    38. :pt: Portugal (=)
    39. :ge: Georgia (=)
    40. :ie: Ireland (=)
    Sweden, Slovenia and Belgium are countries to watch. Norway has only drifted since last night's choice.
  19. sokrates1988 I HATE EUROVISION

    Sweden the fave what a shock :faint:
    Genesis2703, Zuñir and Mina like this.
  20. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    18th March:
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :ee: Estonia (=)
    4. :au: Australia (+3)
    5. :fi: Finland (=)
    6. :no: Norway (=)
    7. :si: Slovenia (-3)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    9. :ru: Russia (+5)
    10. :uk: United Kingdom (-1)
    11. :be: Belgium (=)
    12. :am: Armenia (-2)
    13. :gr: Greece (=)
    14. :lv: Latvia (+1)
    15. :es: Spain (-3)
    16. :ro: Romania (+4)
    17. :mt: Malta (+1)
    18. :is: Iceland (+4)
    19. :cy: Cyprus (=)
    20. :nl: Holland (+5)
    21. :rs: Serbia (+5)
    22. :lt: Lithuania (+5)
    23. :de: Germany (+1)
    24. :al: Albania (+4)
    25. :by: Belarus (+8)
    26. :fr: France (-5)
    27. :il: Israel (+4)
    28. :dk: Denmark (+4)
    29. :at: Austria (-13)
    30. :mk: Macedonia (+6)
    31. :me: Montenegro (-1)
    32. :hu: Hungary (-9)
    33. :ch: Switzerland (-16)
    34. :md: Moldova (+3)
    35. :ge: Georgia (+4)
    36. :ie: Ireland (+4)
    37. :pl: Poland (-8)
    38. :cz: Czech Republic (-3)
    39. :pt: Portugal (-1)
    40. :sm: San Marino (-6)
    Massive changes here, especially a few collapsing countries in Central Europe: Switzerland, Austria, Hungary and Poland. Australia and Russia shortening, so let's have a look at them...

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