•   days until the Eurovision Song Contest Final in Rotterdam!
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Betting Odds 2015

  1. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    23rd March:
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :ee: Estonia (=)
    4. :au: Australia (=)
    5. :si: Slovenia (+2)
    6. :fi: Finland (-1)
    7. :ru: Russia (+2)
    8. :no: Norway (-2)
    9. :az: Azerbaijan (-1)
    10. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    11. :be: Belgium (=)
    12. :lv: Latvia (+2)
    13. :es: Spain (+2)
    14. :gr: Greece (-1)
    15. :am: Armenia (-3)
    16. :is: Iceland (+2)
    17. :cy: Cyprus (+2)
    18. :ro: Romania (-2)
    19. :mt: Malta (-2)
    20. :al: Albania (+4)
    21. :fr: France (+5)
    22. :mk: Macedonia (+8)
    23. :by: Belarus (+2)
    24. :dk: Denmark (+4)
    25. :il: Israel (+2)
    26. :lt: Lithuania (-4)
    27. :nl: Holland (-7)
    28. :rs: Serbia (-7)
    29. :at: Austria (=)
    30. :hu: Hungary (+2)
    31. :ch: Switzerland (+2)
    32. :de: Germany (-9)
    33. :me: Montenegro (-2)
    34. :md: Moldova (=)
    35. :ge: Georgia (=)
    36. :ie: Ireland (=)
    37. :pl: Poland (=)
    38. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    39. :pt: Portugal (=)
    40. :sm: San Marino (=)
  2. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    28th March:
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :ee: Estonia (=)
    4. :si: Slovenia (+1)
    5. :au: Australia (-1)
    6. :fi: Finland (=)
    7. :ru: Russia (=)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (+1)
    9. :no: Norway (-1)
    10. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    11. :is: Iceland (+5)
    12. :be: Belgium (-1)
    13. :lv: Latvia (-1)
    14. :es: Spain (-1)
    15. :am: Armenia (=)
    16. :gr: Greece (-2)
    17. :cy: Cyprus (=)
    18. :ro: Romania (=)
    19. :mt: Malta (=)
    20. :mk: Macedonia (+2)
    21. :by: Belarus (+2)
    22. :al: Albania (-2)
    23. :fr: France (-2)
    24. :rs: Serbia (+4)
    25. :nl: Holland (+2)
    26. :lt: Lithuania (=)
    27. :il: Israel (-2)
    28. :dk: Denmark (-4)
    29. :me: Montenegro (+4)
    30. :ie: Ireland (+6)
    31. :hu: Hungary (-1)
    32. :at: Austria (-3)
    33. :ch: Switzerland (-2)
    34. :ge: Georgia (+1)
    35. :pl: Poland (+2)
    36. :de: Germany (-4)
    37. :md: Moldova (-3)
    38. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    39. :pt: Portugal (=)
    40. :sm: San Marino (=)
  3. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    30th March:
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :ee: Estonia (=)
    4. :si: Slovenia (=)
    5. :au: Australia (=)
    6. :fi: Finland (=)
    7. :ru: Russia (=)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    9. :no: Norway (=)
    10. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    11. :is: Iceland (=)
    12. :be: Belgium (=)
    13. :es: Spain (+1)
    14. :lv: Latvia (-1)
    15. :am: Armenia (=)
    16. :gr: Greece (=)
    17. :cy: Cyprus (=)
    18. :ro: Romania (=)
    19. :mt: Malta (=)
    20. :al: Albania (+2)
    21. :by: Belarus (=)
    22. :mk: Macedonia (-2)
    23. :fr: France (=)
    24. :il: Israel (+3)
    25. :rs: Serbia (-1)
    26. :nl: Holland (-1)
    27. :lt: Lithuania (-1)
    28. :ie: Ireland (+2)
    29. :at: Austria (+3)
    30. :ge: Georgia (+4)
    31. :dk: Denmark (-3)
    32. :me: Montenegro (-3)
    33. :hu: Hungary (-2)
    34. :de: Germany (+2)
    35. :pl: Poland (=)
    36. :ch: Switzerland (-3)
    37. :md: Moldova (=)
    38. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    39. :sm: San Marino (+1)
    40. :pt: Portugal (-1)
  4. Genesis2703 Pointless

    Ouch, Portugal fell below even San Marino o_O
  5. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    13th April:
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :ee: Estonia (=)
    4. :au: Australia (+1)
    5. :fi: Finland (+1)
    6. :si: Slovenia (-2)
    7. :ru: Russia (=)
    8. :no: Norway (+1)
    9. :az: Azerbaijan (-1)
    10. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    11. :is: Iceland (=)
    12. :be: Belgium (=)
    13. :es: Spain (=)
    14. :am: Armenia (+1)
    15. :lv: Latvia (-1)
    16. :al: Albania (+4)
    17. :cy: Cyprus (=)
    18. :gr: Greece (-2)
    19. :nl: Holland (+7)
    20. :by: Belarus (+1)
    21. :mk: Macedonia (+1)
    22. :ro: Romania (-4)
    23. :ge: Georgia (+7)
    24. :hu: Hungary (+9)
    25. :at: Austria (+4)
    26. :mt: Malta (-7)
    27. :fr: France (-4)
    28. :il: Israel (-4)
    29. :rs: Serbia (-4)
    30. :lt: Lithuania (-3)
    31. :dk: Denmark (=)
    32. :pl: Poland (+3)
    33. :de: Germany (+1)
    34. :ie: Ireland (-6)
    35. :me: Montenegro (-3)
    36. :ch: Switzerland (=)
    37. :md: Moldova (=)
    38. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    39. :sm: San Marino (=)
    40. :pt: Portugal (=)
  6. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    19th April (after Eurovision in Concert):
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :ee: Estonia (=)
    4. :au: Australia (=)
    5. :fi: Finland (=)
    6. :si: Slovenia (=)
    7. :ru: Russia (=)
    8. :no: Norway (=)
    9. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    10. :is: Iceland (+1)
    11. :uk: United Kingdom (-1)
    12. :es: Spain (+1)
    13. :be: Belgium (-1)
    14. :am: Armenia (=)
    15. :al: Albania (+1)
    16. :lv: Latvia (-1)
    17. :gr: Greece (+1)
    18. :by: Belarus (+2)
    19. :cy: Cyprus (-2)
    20. :ro: Romania (+2)
    21. :nl: Holland (-2)
    22. :hu: Hungary (+2)
    23. :mt: Malta (+3)
    24. :rs: Serbia (+5)
    25. :mk: Macedonia (-4)
    26. :fr: France (+1)
    27. :lt: Lithuania (+3)
    28. :ge: Georgia (-5)
    29. :il: Israel (-1)
    30. :ie: Ireland (+4)
    31. :dk: Denmark (=)
    32. :pl: Poland (=)
    33. :at: Austria (-8)
    34. :de: Germany (-1)
    35. :me: Montenegro (=)
    36. :md: Moldova (+1)
    37. :ch: Switzerland (-1)
    38. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    39. :sm: San Marino (=)
    40. :pt: Portugal (=)
    From what I heard about last night, the best reactions were (besides Holland) for France, Australia and oddly, Serbia. From these bookies, it's interesting that both Austria and Georgia won a lot last time and are now back to where they were...
  7. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    22nd April:
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :au: Australia (+1)
    4. :ee: Estonia (-1)
    5. :fi: Finland (=)
    6. :si: Slovenia (=)
    7. :ru: Russia (=)
    8. :no: Norway (=)
    9. :az: Azerbaijan (=)
    10. :is: Iceland (=)
    11. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    12. :es: Spain (=)
    13. :be: Belgium (=)
    14. :al: Albania (+1)
    15. :am: Armenia (-1)
    16. :by: Belarus (+2)
    17. :cy: Cyprus (+2)
    18. :lv: Latvia (-2)
    19. :gr: Greece (-2)
    20. :nl: Holland (+1)
    21. :ro: Romania (-1)
    22. :mt: Malta (+2)
    23. :hu: Hungary (-1)
    24. :mk: Macedonia (+1)
    25. :fr: France (+1)
    26. :rs: Serbia (-2)
    27. :il: Israel (+2)
    28. :lt: Lithuania (-1)
    29. :dk: Denmark (+2)
    30. :ie: Ireland (=)
    31. :pl: Poland (+1)
    32. :de: Germany (+2)
    33. :at: Austria (=)
    34. :me: Montenegro (+1)
    35. :ge: Georgia (-7)
    36. :md: Moldova (=)
    37. :ch: Switzerland (=)
    38. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    39. :sm: San Marino (=)
    40. :pt: Portugal (=)
  8. Rua Haldor Lægreid Impersonator

    Just helping out Nick with this (hopefully he won't mind) but we're almost to the end of April - so I think it's time we update before we hit May.

    01. Sweden (=)
    02. Italy (=)
    03. Australia (=)
    04. Estonia (=)
    05. Finland (=)
    06. Russia (+1)
    07. Norway (+1)
    08. Azerbaijan (+1)
    09. Slovenia (-3)
    10. Iceland (=)
    11. United Kingdom (=)
    12. Belgium (+1)
    13. Spain (-1)
    14. Albania (=)
    15. Armenia (=)
    16. Belarus (=)
    17. Israel (+10)
    18. Greece (+1)
    19. Macedonia (+5)
    20. Serbia (+6)
    21. Latvia (-3)
    22. Cyprus (-5)
    23. Ireland (+7)
    24. Hungary (-1)
    25. Austria (+8)
    26. Romania (-5)
    27. Poland (+4)
    28. Holland (-8)
    29. Lithuania (-1)
    30. Georgia (+5)
    31. Denmark (-2)
    32. France (-7)
    33. Germany (-1)
    34. Malta (-12)
    35. Moldova (+1)
    36. Montenegro (-2)
    37. Switzerland (=)
    38. Czech Republic (=)
    39. San Marino (=)
    40. Portugal (=)

    Some MASSIVE fluctuating going on - biggest drop is Malta who descends a catastrophic 12 places - biggest jump is Israel who storms up 10 places.
    Zuñir likes this.
  9. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    18th May - Start of Eurovision week
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (=)
    3. :au: Australia (=)
    4. :ee: Estonia (=)
    5. :ru: Russia (+1)
    6. :fi: Finland (-1)
    7. :az: Azerbaijan (+1)
    8. :si: Slovenia (+1)
    9. :no: Norway (-2)
    10. :is: Iceland (=)
    11. :lv: Latvia (+10)
    12. :be: Belgium (=)
    13. :cy: Cyprus (+9)
    14. :es: Spain (-1)
    15. :fr: France (+17)
    16. :ge: Georgia (+14)
    17. :uk: United Kingdom (-6)
    18. :al: Albania (-4)
    19. :il: Israel (-2)
    20. :am: Armenia (-5)
    21. :gr: Greece (-3)
    22. :by: Belarus (-6)
    23. :at: Austria (+2)
    24. :hu: Hungary (=)
    25. :lt: Lithuania (+4)
    26. :ro: Romania (=)
    27. :pl: Poland (=)
    28. :mk: Macedonia (-9)
    29. :de: Germany (+4)
    30. :dk: Denmark (+1)
    31. :nl: Holland (-3)
    32. :ie: Ireland (-9)
    33. :rs: Serbia (-13)
    34. :me: Montenegro (+2)
    35. :mt: Malta (-1)
    36. :cz: Czech Republic (+2)
    37. :ch: Switzerland (=)
    38. :sm: San Marino (+1)
    39. :md: Moldova (-4)
    40. :pt: Portugal (=)
    So, after the rehearsals, it's France, Cyprus and Latvia shooting up. Interesting.
  10. Nessie SWEET HOME ALABAMA

    GO GO GO AMINATA.
  11. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    20th May - After semifinal 1
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :ru: Russia (+3)
    3. :it: Italy (-1)
    4. :au: Australia (-1)
    5. :ee: Estonia (-1)
    6. :rs: Serbia (+27)
    7. :no: Norway (+2)
    8. :az: Azerbaijan (-1)
    9. :be: Belgium (+3)
    10. :si: Slovenia (-2)
    11. :lv: Latvia (=)
    12. :is: Iceland (-2)
    13. :es: Spain (+1)
    14. :cy: Cyprus (-1)
    15. :fr: France (=)
    16. :ge: Georgia (=)
    17. :gr: Greece (+4)
    18. :il: Israel (+1)
    19. :uk: United Kingdom (-2)
    20. :al: Albania (-2)
    21. :hu: Hungary (+3)
    22. :at: Austria (+1)
    23. :lt: Lithuania (+2)
    24. :ro: Romania (+2)
    25. :am: Armenia (-5)
    26. :ie: Ireland (+6)
    27. :de: Germany (+2)
    28. :pl: Poland (-1)
    29. :mt: Malta (+6)
    30. :me: Montenegro (+4)
    31. :ch: Switzerland (+6)
    32. :cz: Czech Republic (+4)
    33. :sm: San Marino (+5)
    34. :pt: Portugal (+6)
    35. :by: Belarus (Out - Last position: 22nd)
    36. :dk: Denmark (Out - Last position: 30th)
    37. :fi: Finland (Out - Last position: 6th)
    38. :nl: Holland (Out - Last position: 31st)
    39. :mk: Macedonia (Out - Last position: 28th)
    40. :md: Moldova (Out - - Last position: 39th)
    What the actual *** is Serbia doing?
  12. Jonny Ginger Tory Witch

    I think a lot of people have got carried away based upon the reaction inside the arena, forgetting that Euroqueen and Serb diaspora votes won't be enough to propel it to the top.

    In fact, if anybody is looking to make some $$$ it's probably quite a good time to bet on Serbia finishing outside of the top 10.
  13. It's very reminiscent of what happened with Hera Björk in 2010 and I suspect it will end in a similar fashion.
    NickEmpel and Jonny like this.
  14. Jonny Ginger Tory Witch

    The views on the official videos of Tuesday's performances suggest that Serbia's odds shortening so much might not be so ridiculous. :ru: has by far the most views (1.8 million), followed by :be: (655k), :rs: (650k), :ge: (453k) and :ee: (426k).

    I know the views are far from definitive. For example, I suspect Russia's huge total is partially due to its huge population as most of the comments are in Russian, even if I'm still positive that it won the semi quite comfortably. However there is probably something to be said for Serbia and Belgium's impressive totals.

    (They also confirm that Boggie probably has the juries to thank as the poor girl has even fewer views than :fi:.)
  15. Merjan MICHAEL GOVE FOR PM

    But it's bloody horrible! And there's no chance of a horrible song from Serbia winning is there!

    ...Oh, wait :o
  16. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    21st May - One hour before the semi
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :it: Italy (+1)
    3. :ru: Russia (-1)
    4. :au: Australia (=)
    5. :ee: Estonia (=)
    6. :rs: Serbia (=)
    7. :be: Belgium (+2)
    8. :no: Norway (-1)
    9. :az: Azerbaijan (-1)
    10. :si: Slovenia (=)
    11. :lv: Latvia (=)
    12. :es: Spain (+1)
    13. :ge: Georgia (+3)
    14. :cy: Cyprus (=)
    15. :fr: France (=)
    16. :is: Iceland (-4)
    17. :gr: Greece (=)
    18. ;il: Israel (=)
    19. :uk: United Kingdom (=)
    20. :al: Albania (=)
    21. :ro: Romania (+3)
    22. :hu: Hungary (-1)
    23. :lt: Lithuania (=)
    24. :am: Armenia (+1)
    25. :ie: Ireland (+1)
    26. :pl: Poland (+2)
    27. :at: Austria (-5)
    28. :de: Germany (-1)
    29. :mt: Malta (=)
    30. :me: Montenegro (=)
    31. :ch: Switzerland (=)
    32. :cz: Czech Republic (=)
    33. :sm: San Marino (=)
    34. :pt: Portugal (=)
    35. :by: Belarus (Out - Last position: 22nd)
    36. :dk: Denmark (Out - Last position: 30th)
    37. :fi: Finland (Out - Last position: 6th)
    38. :nl: Holland (Out - Last position: 31st)
    39. :mk: Macedonia (Out - Last position: 28th)
    40. :md: Moldova (Out - - Last position: 39th)
    These are the odds for the winner, but if we look at who the bookies see as most likely to qualify, we end up with the following ranking for semifinal 2:
    1. :se: Sweden
    2. :no: Norway
    3. :az: Azerbaijan
    4. :si: Slovenia
    5. :lv: Latvia
    6. :il: Israel
    7. :cy: Cyprus
    8. :lt: Lithuania
    9. :is: Iceland
    10. :pl: Poland
    11. :mt: Malta
    12. :me: Montenegro
    13. :cz: Czech Republic
    14. :ch: Switzerland
    15. :ie: Ireland
    16. :pt: Portugal
    17. :sm: San Marino
  17. Jonny Ginger Tory Witch

    Also.
  18. NickEmpel BURGER AND FRIES

    Final Day - 23rd May
    1. :se: Sweden (=)
    2. :ru: Russia (+1)
    3. :it: Italy (-1)
    4. :be: Belgium (+3)
    5. :au: Australia (-1)
    6. :ee: Estonia (-1)
    7. :rs: Serbia (-1)
    8. :no: Norway (=)
    9. :lv: Latvia (+2)
    10. :az: Azerbaijan (-1)
    11. :il: Israel (+7)
    12. :es: Spain (=)
    13. :si: Slovenia (-3)
    14. :ge: Georgia (-1)
    15. :gr: Greece (+2)
    16. :lt: Lithuania (+7)
    17. :ro: Romania (+4)
    18. :uk: United Kingdom (+1)
    19. :cy: Cyprus (-5)
    20. :al: Albania (=)
    21. :fr: France (-6)
    22. :am: Armenia (+2)
    23. :hu: Hungary (-1)
    24. :at: Austria (+3)
    25. :de: Germany (+3)
    26. :me: Montenegro (+4)
    27. :pl: Poland (-1)
    28. :fi: Finland (Out - Last position: 6th)
    29. :is: Iceland (Out - Last position: 16th)
    30. :by: Belarus (Out - Last position: 22nd)
    31. :ie: Ireland (Out - Last position: 25th)
    32. :mk: Macedonia (Out - Last position: 28th)
    33. :mt: Malta (Out - Last position: 29th)
    34. :dk: Denmark (Out - Last position: 30th)
    35. :nl: Holland (Out - Last position: 31st)
    36. :ch: Switzerland (Out - Last position: 31st)
    37. :cz: Czech Republic (Out - Last position: 32nd)
    38. :sm: San Marino (Out - Last position: 33rd)
    39. :pt: Portugal (Out - Last position: 34th)
    40. :md: Moldova (Out - - Last position: 39th)

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